I'm often asked whether or not I think a waiver would be granted for a particular criminal offense, or offenses. Unfortunately, neither I, nor anyone else can answer that question. Criminal history (moral) waivers are very much an individual thing, and depends on several individual factors. No two cases are the same.
Each of the services have criminal history standards that determine which offenses (or combination of offenses) are disqualifying for enlistment:
If you fail to meet the above listed standards, you would need a moral waiver in order to join the military.
If you need a waiver, that means you are ineligible to join the military. The waiver is the process of you asking the service to make an exception in your particular case. The recruiter is the first step. Only a military recruiter can initiate a moral waiver request. Keep in mind this is the recruiter's decision, not yours. There is no right to have a moral waiver processed. If the recruiter doesn't think there is a good chance of approval, he/she doesn't have to waste time by submitting one on your behalf.
One primary consideration is the current recruiting needs of the service branch. If they are doing well meeting their recruiting numbers, the chances of waiver consideration/approval go down. If the service is struggling to meet their recruiting needs, the chances of waiver consideration/approval goes up.
The Army has the reputation of approving the most moral waivers. The Air Force and Coast Guard approve the fewest. The Navy and Marine Corps fall somewhere in between. However, that's not always the case. There have been times, during extremely good recruiting periods, where the Army won't consider any applicant who needs a moral waiver, at all.
Another important factor is how attractive of an applicant you are to the service. Generally, those with high ASVAB AFQT scores and/or a high school diploma/college credits have a higher chance of favorable waiver consideration than a candidate who scores low on the ASVAB, and/or has a GED.
Other factors include the seriousness of the criminal offense(s), how old you were when it happened, and how much time has passed since then. There are some categories where I feel safe to say are virtually never considered for waivers:
- Adult felonies. The services almost never (I'm tempted to say never) consider waivers for felony convictions that happened as an adult.
- Juvenile felonies that involved violence.
- Offenses involving the sale or transfer of illegal drugs.
- Sex offenses.
- Domestic violence that falls under the Lautenberg Amendment. The 1996 Lautenberg Amendment to the Gun Control Act of 1968 makes it unlawful for anyone who has been convicted of a misdemeanor of domestic violence to possess firearms. If you can't carry a firearm, you're not worth very much to the military.
The waiver process is very subjective. More serious offenses require a higher level of approval in the recruiting chain-of-command than less serious offenses. However, regardless, a human being (usually a commanding officer) is going to make the final decision, and humans are usually more subjective than they are objective. For example, let's say your offense was burglary, and the final approval authority -- some colonel --had his house robbed. Do you think he's going to look kindly on a burglary waiver?
If your waiver is disapproved, there is no appeal process. Several people have asked me about writing their congressman or senator, and you can certainly do so. But, in my opinion, it's a waste of time when it comes to disapproval of waivers. Congressional inquiries can be beneficial if the military does something wrong (against the law or against regulations), but the military does not have to approve (or even consider) your waiver. If your congress-critter does make an inquiry, the military is simply going to say, "we looked into it, and decided not to approve/consider the waiver," and that will be the end of it.
One thing you can do is to check with a different service branch. Waiver decisions are only valid for the branch who made it. In other words, if the Air Force disapproved your moral waiver request, the Navy still might approve it.